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Serie B · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 29 Aug 2026

13:00

Venue

Stadio Ciro Vigorito

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Benevento Win

39%

Benevento

2.54

29%

Draw

3.46

32%

Sudtirol

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Benevento xG

Total xG

2.60

1.22

Sudtirol xG

39%
29%
32%
BeneventoDrawSudtirol

2.54

39%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

30%

Benevento

3.38

25%

Sudtirol

3.98

Win to Nil

12%

Benevento

8.57

8%

Sudtirol

12.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.0 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.3 12.5 7.6 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 8.6 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.3 4.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 1.217
Total xG 2.599
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Benevento attack strength 0.850
Benevento defence strength 1.150
Sudtirol attack strength 0.988
Sudtirol defence strength 1.053
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 38