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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Tue 8 Dec 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ciro Vigorito

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Benevento Win

38%

Benevento

2.63

29%

Draw

3.47

33%

Padova

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Benevento xG

Total xG

2.62

1.26

Padova xG

38%
29%
33%
BeneventoDrawPadova

2.63

38%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

28%

Benevento

3.53

26%

Padova

3.91

Win to Nil

11%

Benevento

9.27

8%

Padova

11.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.1 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.9 12.5 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 8.5 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.364
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.624
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Benevento attack strength 0.850
Benevento defence strength 1.150
Padova attack strength 1.023
Padova defence strength 1.040
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 38