Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 22 Aug 2026

13:00

Venue

Stadio Ciro Vigorito

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Benevento Win

35%

Benevento

2.85

30%

Draw

3.29

34%

Modena

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Benevento xG

Total xG

2.40

1.19

Modena xG

35%
30%
34%
BeneventoDrawModena

2.85

35%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

30%

Benevento

3.29

30%

Modena

3.34

Win to Nil

11%

Benevento

9.38

10%

Modena

9.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 10.8 6.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 11.0 13.1 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.6 7.9 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.7 3.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.206
λ Away (xG) 1.192
Total xG 2.398
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Benevento attack strength 0.850
Benevento defence strength 1.150
Modena attack strength 0.968
Modena defence strength 0.919
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 38