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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

48%

Bari

2.09

32%

Draw

3.11

20%

Virtus Entella

4.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Bari xG

Total xG

2.23

0.83

Virtus Entella xG

48%
32%
20%
BariDrawVirtus Entella

2.09

48%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

4.99

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

43%

Bari

2.30

25%

Virtus Entella

4.05

Win to Nil

21%

Bari

4.81

5%

Virtus Entella

20.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 8.9 3.7 1.0 0.2
1 15.0 12.5 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 8.7 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 4.9 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.398
λ Away (xG) 0.834
Total xG 2.232
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.084
Bari attack strength 0.888
Bari defence strength 1.306
Virtus Entella attack strength 0.589
Virtus Entella defence strength 1.143
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36