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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

25%

Bari

3.95

36%

Draw

2.80

39%

Sudtirol

2.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

19.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

18.3%

Away win

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.70

Bari xG

Total xG

1.64

0.94

Sudtirol xG

25%
36%
39%
BariDrawSudtirol

3.95

25%

Home win

2.80

36%

Draw

2.56

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

49%

Over 1.5

2.04

51%

Under 1.5

1.96

23%

Over 2.5

4.35

77%

Under 2.5

1.30

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

31%

BTTS Yes

3.19

69%

BTTS No

1.46

Clean Sheet

39%

Bari

2.57

50%

Sudtirol

2.01

Win to Nil

10%

Bari

10.14

19%

Sudtirol

5.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.4 18.3 8.6 2.7 0.6 0.1
1 13.5 12.8 6.0 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 4.7 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.699
λ Away (xG) 0.942
Total xG 1.641
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.052
Bari attack strength 0.698
Bari defence strength 1.121
Sudtirol attack strength 0.799
Sudtirol defence strength 0.783
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62