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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
26%
3.92
37%
2.67
37%
2.70
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
17.7%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
17.2%
Away win
1 – 0
13.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.76
Bari xG
Total xG
1.73
0.97
Spezia xG
BariDrawSpezia
3.92
26%
Home win
2.67
37%
Draw
2.70
37%
Away win
Goals Markets
52%
Over 1.5
1.92
48%
Under 1.5
2.08
25%
Over 2.5
4.00
75%
Under 2.5
1.33
10%
Over 3.5
10.00
90%
Under 3.5
1.11
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
35%
BTTS Yes
2.85
65%
BTTS No
1.54
Clean Sheet
38%
2.64
47%
2.14
Win to Nil
10%
10.33
17%
5.78
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.7 | 17.2 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.5 | 13.1 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.761
λ Away (xG)
0.969
Total xG
1.730
League avg home goals
1.241
League avg away goals
1.055
Bari attack strength
0.893
Bari defence strength
1.017
Spezia attack strength
0.902
Spezia defence strength
0.687
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 57