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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

46%

Bari

2.17

34%

Draw

2.94

20%

Sampdoria

5.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Bari xG

Total xG

2.38

0.92

Sampdoria xG

46%
34%
20%
BariDrawSampdoria

2.17

46%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

5.01

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

40%

Bari

2.51

23%

Sampdoria

4.32

Win to Nil

18%

Bari

5.44

5%

Sampdoria

21.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 8.5 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.5 12.4 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.1 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.8 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.463
λ Away (xG) 0.919
Total xG 2.382
League avg home goals 1.301
League avg away goals 1.141
Bari attack strength 0.959
Bari defence strength 0.966
Sampdoria attack strength 0.834
Sampdoria defence strength 1.172
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42