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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

49%

Bari

2.05

27%

Draw

3.73

24%

Sampdoria

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Bari xG

Total xG

2.92

1.18

Sampdoria xG

49%
27%
24%
BariDrawSampdoria

2.05

49%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

31%

Bari

3.26

18%

Sampdoria

5.66

Win to Nil

15%

Bari

6.68

4%

Sampdoria

23.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.4 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.4 11.1 6.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.6 5.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 4.7 5.6 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.734
λ Away (xG) 1.181
Total xG 2.915
League avg home goals 1.204
League avg away goals 1.084
Bari attack strength 1.085
Bari defence strength 0.999
Sampdoria attack strength 1.091
Sampdoria defence strength 1.327
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65