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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bari Win
57%
1.75
29%
3.46
14%
7.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
17.1%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
13.2%
Home win
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.54
Bari xG
Total xG
2.20
0.66
Salernitana xG
BariDrawSalernitana
1.75
57%
Home win
3.46
29%
Draw
7.11
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.53
60%
BTTS No
1.65
Clean Sheet
52%
1.93
21%
4.67
Win to Nil
30%
3.38
3%
33.22
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 17.1 | 11.2 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 13.2 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.542
λ Away (xG)
0.657
Total xG
2.199
League avg home goals
1.217
League avg away goals
1.093
Bari attack strength
1.031
Bari defence strength
0.972
Salernitana attack strength
0.619
Salernitana defence strength
1.229
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 29