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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 30 Jan 2026

19:30

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

29%

Bari

3.42

31%

Draw

3.23

40%

Palermo

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Bari xG

Total xG

2.04

1.12

Palermo xG

29%
31%
40%
BariDrawPalermo

3.42

29%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

33%

Bari

3.07

40%

Palermo

2.51

Win to Nil

10%

Bari

10.50

16%

Palermo

6.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 14.6 8.2 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 11.9 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 5.5 6.2 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.919
λ Away (xG) 1.122
Total xG 2.041
League avg home goals 1.285
League avg away goals 1.023
Bari attack strength 0.827
Bari defence strength 1.103
Palermo attack strength 0.994
Palermo defence strength 0.864
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59