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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bari Win
47%
2.13
34%
2.91
19%
5.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
2 – 0
10.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.44
Bari xG
Total xG
2.30
0.86
Monza xG
BariDrawMonza
2.13
47%
Home win
2.91
34%
Draw
5.32
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.10
52%
BTTS No
1.91
Clean Sheet
42%
2.37
24%
4.21
Win to Nil
20%
5.05
4%
22.38
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 8.6 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.437
λ Away (xG)
0.861
Total xG
2.298
League avg home goals
1.221
League avg away goals
1.046
Bari attack strength
1.023
Bari defence strength
0.968
Monza attack strength
0.850
Monza defence strength
1.150
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
39 / 1