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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bari Win
45%
2.23
36%
2.81
20%
5.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
0 – 0
11.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.34
Bari xG
Total xG
2.19
0.84
Mantova xG
BariDrawMantova
2.23
45%
Home win
2.81
36%
Draw
5.11
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
43%
2.32
26%
3.84
Win to Nil
19%
5.17
5%
19.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2 | 9.4 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 15.1 | 12.7 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.2 | 8.5 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.345
λ Away (xG)
0.840
Total xG
2.185
League avg home goals
1.332
League avg away goals
1.139
Bari attack strength
1.007
Bari defence strength
0.995
Mantova attack strength
0.741
Mantova defence strength
1.003
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
46 / 46