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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

18:30

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

47%

Bari

2.14

28%

Draw

3.57

25%

Juve Stabia

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Bari xG

Total xG

2.48

1.01

Juve Stabia xG

47%
28%
25%
BariDrawJuve Stabia

2.14

47%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

36%

Bari

2.75

23%

Juve Stabia

4.33

Win to Nil

17%

Bari

5.89

6%

Juve Stabia

17.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 8.5 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.3 12.5 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 9.1 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.4 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.465
λ Away (xG) 1.012
Total xG 2.477
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.048
Bari attack strength 0.918
Bari defence strength 1.085
Juve Stabia attack strength 0.889
Juve Stabia defence strength 1.220
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57