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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

48%

Bari

2.06

29%

Draw

3.43

22%

Avellino

4.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Bari xG

Total xG

2.41

0.93

Avellino xG

48%
29%
22%
BariDrawAvellino

2.06

48%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

4.47

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

39%

Bari

2.54

23%

Avellino

4.38

Win to Nil

19%

Bari

5.24

5%

Avellino

19.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 8.4 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.3 12.4 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.1 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.8 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.478
λ Away (xG) 0.932
Total xG 2.410
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.037
Bari attack strength 0.957
Bari defence strength 1.101
Avellino attack strength 0.816
Avellino defence strength 1.174
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17