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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

19%

Avellino

5.16

26%

Draw

3.81

54%

Palermo

1.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

0 – 2

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Avellino xG

Total xG

2.73

1.75

Palermo xG

19%
26%
54%
AvellinoDrawPalermo

5.16

19%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

1.84

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

17%

Avellino

5.78

38%

Palermo

2.65

Win to Nil

3%

Avellino

29.80

21%

Palermo

4.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 11.5 10.1 5.9 2.6 0.9
1 6.4 11.2 9.8 5.7 2.5 0.9
2 3.1 5.4 4.8 2.8 1.2 0.4
3 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.973
λ Away (xG) 1.754
Total xG 2.727
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.072
Avellino attack strength 0.838
Avellino defence strength 1.472
Palermo attack strength 1.111
Palermo defence strength 0.867
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 54