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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

34%

Avellino

2.94

37%

Draw

2.70

29%

Monza

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Avellino xG

Total xG

2.20

1.05

Monza xG

34%
37%
29%
AvellinoDrawMonza

2.94

34%

Home win

2.70

37%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

35%

Avellino

2.86

32%

Monza

3.16

Win to Nil

12%

Avellino

8.42

9%

Monza

10.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 11.6 6.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.7 13.4 7.0 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 7.3 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.8 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.150
λ Away (xG) 1.051
Total xG 2.201
League avg home goals 1.198
League avg away goals 1.053
Avellino attack strength 0.875
Avellino defence strength 1.150
Monza attack strength 0.868
Monza defence strength 1.098
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 2