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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Avellino Win

48%

Avellino

2.08

33%

Draw

3.05

19%

Mantova

5.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Avellino xG

Total xG

2.49

0.94

Mantova xG

48%
33%
19%
AvellinoDrawMantova

2.08

48%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

5.23

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

39%

Avellino

2.55

21%

Mantova

4.72

Win to Nil

19%

Avellino

5.30

4%

Mantova

24.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 7.8 3.6 1.1 0.3
1 12.9 12.1 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.4 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.2 4.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.552
λ Away (xG) 0.936
Total xG 2.488
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.125
Avellino attack strength 1.030
Avellino defence strength 1.004
Mantova attack strength 0.829
Mantova defence strength 1.177
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 44