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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Catanzaro Win

29%

Avellino

3.39

27%

Draw

3.77

44%

Catanzaro

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

2 – 1

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Avellino xG

Total xG

3.19

1.77

Catanzaro xG

29%
27%
44%
AvellinoDrawCatanzaro

3.39

29%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.83

Clean Sheet

17%

Avellino

5.86

24%

Catanzaro

4.16

Win to Nil

5%

Avellino

19.88

11%

Catanzaro

9.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 7.3 6.4 3.8 1.7 0.6
1 5.8 10.3 9.1 5.4 2.4 0.8
2 4.2 7.4 6.5 3.8 1.7 0.6
3 2.0 3.5 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 1.768
Total xG 3.194
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.096
Avellino attack strength 0.902
Avellino defence strength 1.244
Catanzaro attack strength 1.297
Catanzaro defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 70