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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Avellino Win

46%

Avellino

2.18

23%

Draw

4.27

31%

Carrarese

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Avellino xG

Total xG

3.57

1.60

Carrarese xG

46%
23%
31%
AvellinoDrawCarrarese

2.18

46%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.44

30%

BTTS No

3.29

Clean Sheet

20%

Avellino

4.94

14%

Carrarese

7.21

Win to Nil

9%

Avellino

10.75

4%

Carrarese

23.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.5 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.2
1 5.5 8.9 7.1 3.8 1.5 0.5
2 5.5 8.8 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 3.6 5.8 4.6 2.5 1.0 0.3
4 1.8 2.8 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.976
λ Away (xG) 1.597
Total xG 3.573
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.021
Avellino attack strength 0.986
Avellino defence strength 1.445
Carrarese attack strength 1.083
Carrarese defence strength 1.528
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 57