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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 30 Jan 2027

14:00

Venue

Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Ascoli Win

38%

Ascoli

2.63

29%

Draw

3.47

33%

Padova

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Ascoli xG

Total xG

2.62

1.26

Padova xG

38%
29%
33%
AscoliDrawPadova

2.63

38%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

28%

Ascoli

3.53

26%

Padova

3.91

Win to Nil

11%

Ascoli

9.27

8%

Padova

11.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.1 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.9 12.5 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 8.5 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.364
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.624
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Ascoli attack strength 0.850
Ascoli defence strength 1.150
Padova attack strength 1.023
Padova defence strength 1.040
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 38