Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 27 Jan 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Venezia Win

37%

Venezia

2.70

30%

Draw

3.37

33%

Hellas Verona

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.78

1.35

Hellas Verona xG

37%
30%
33%
VeneziaDrawHellas Verona

2.70

37%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

26%

Venezia

3.86

24%

Hellas Verona

4.18

Win to Nil

10%

Venezia

10.43

8%

Hellas Verona

12.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.4 5.7 2.5 0.9 0.2
1 8.9 12.0 8.1 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.6 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.0 4.1 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.430
λ Away (xG) 1.350
Total xG 2.780
League avg home goals 1.355
League avg away goals 1.327
Venezia attack strength 0.809
Venezia defence strength 1.050
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.969
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.304
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 59