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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

22%

Venezia

4.54

30%

Draw

3.38

48%

AC Milan

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.17

1.35

AC Milan xG

22%
30%
48%
VeneziaDrawAC Milan

4.54

22%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

26%

Venezia

3.84

44%

AC Milan

2.27

Win to Nil

6%

Venezia

17.43

21%

AC Milan

4.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 15.4 10.4 4.7 1.6 0.4
1 9.4 12.6 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 3.8 5.2 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.1 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.819
λ Away (xG) 1.346
Total xG 2.165
League avg home goals 1.232
League avg away goals 1.126
Venezia attack strength 0.624
Venezia defence strength 0.901
AC Milan attack strength 1.327
AC Milan defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 71