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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

25%

Udinese

4.01

28%

Draw

3.57

47%

Napoli

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Udinese xG

Total xG

2.23

1.34

Napoli xG

25%
28%
47%
UdineseDrawNapoli

4.01

25%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.30

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

26%

Udinese

3.80

41%

Napoli

2.43

Win to Nil

7%

Udinese

15.27

19%

Napoli

5.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 14.4 9.6 4.3 1.4 0.4
1 9.6 12.8 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 4.3 5.7 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
3 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.889
λ Away (xG) 1.336
Total xG 2.225
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.112
Udinese attack strength 0.865
Udinese defence strength 1.276
Napoli attack strength 0.942
Napoli defence strength 0.824
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52