Udinese vs Napoli – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
21%
4.73
28%
3.57
51%
1.97
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
16.2%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
0 – 0
11.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.77
Udinese xG
Total xG
2.13
1.36
Napoli xG
UdineseDrawNapoli
4.73
21%
Home win
3.57
28%
Draw
1.97
51%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.51
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
26%
3.89
46%
2.15
Win to Nil
5%
18.42
24%
4.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.9 | 16.2 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 12.4 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.767
λ Away (xG)
1.359
Total xG
2.126
League avg home goals
1.337
League avg away goals
1.285
Udinese attack strength
0.861
Udinese defence strength
1.011
Napoli attack strength
1.046
Napoli defence strength
0.666
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
53 / 53