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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Bluenergy Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

27%

Udinese

3.72

28%

Draw

3.52

45%

Fiorentina

2.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Udinese xG

Total xG

2.43

1.40

Fiorentina xG

27%
28%
45%
UdineseDrawFiorentina

3.72

27%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.24

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

25%

Udinese

4.05

36%

Fiorentina

2.80

Win to Nil

7%

Udinese

15.07

16%

Fiorentina

6.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 12.4 8.6 4.0 1.4 0.4
1 9.1 12.7 8.9 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.7 6.5 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.6 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.028
λ Away (xG) 1.399
Total xG 2.427
League avg home goals 1.230
League avg away goals 1.143
Udinese attack strength 0.794
Udinese defence strength 1.172
Fiorentina attack strength 1.044
Fiorentina defence strength 1.053
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75