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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

11:30

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Udinese Win

23%

Sassuolo

4.38

32%

Draw

3.11

45%

Udinese

2.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.4%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.79

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.01

1.22

Udinese xG

23%
32%
45%
SassuoloDrawUdinese

4.38

23%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

2.22

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.53

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

30%

Sassuolo

3.38

45%

Udinese

2.20

Win to Nil

7%

Sassuolo

14.82

20%

Udinese

4.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.4 16.4 10.0 4.0 1.2 0.3
1 10.6 12.9 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 4.2 5.1 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.789
λ Away (xG) 1.218
Total xG 2.007
League avg home goals 1.149
League avg away goals 1.138
Sassuolo attack strength 0.768
Sassuolo defence strength 1.053
Udinese attack strength 1.016
Udinese defence strength 0.895
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 42