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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lazio Win
28%
3.52
29%
3.50
43%
2.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
0 – 0
10.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.96
Sassuolo xG
Total xG
2.22
1.25
Lazio xG
SassuoloDrawLazio
3.52
28%
Home win
3.50
29%
Draw
2.32
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.26
56%
BTTS No
1.79
Clean Sheet
29%
3.51
38%
2.62
Win to Nil
8%
12.36
16%
6.08
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.9 | 13.7 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.5 | 13.2 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.962
λ Away (xG)
1.255
Total xG
2.217
League avg home goals
1.256
League avg away goals
1.115
Sassuolo attack strength
0.742
Sassuolo defence strength
1.201
Lazio attack strength
0.937
Lazio defence strength
1.032
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
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