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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Mon 3 Nov 2025

17:30

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

35%

Sassuolo

2.82

30%

Draw

3.30

34%

Genoa

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.36

1.17

Genoa xG

35%
30%
34%
SassuoloDrawGenoa

2.82

35%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

31%

Sassuolo

3.21

30%

Genoa

3.29

Win to Nil

11%

Sassuolo

9.06

10%

Genoa

9.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 11.1 6.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.3 13.2 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.7 7.8 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.190
λ Away (xG) 1.166
Total xG 2.356
League avg home goals 1.175
League avg away goals 1.065
Sassuolo attack strength 0.898
Sassuolo defence strength 1.075
Genoa attack strength 1.019
Genoa defence strength 1.128
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 9 / 47