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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

40%

Sassuolo

2.48

30%

Draw

3.32

30%

Fiorentina

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.36

1.07

Fiorentina xG

40%
30%
30%
SassuoloDrawFiorentina

2.48

40%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

34%

Sassuolo

2.91

28%

Fiorentina

3.63

Win to Nil

14%

Sassuolo

7.22

8%

Fiorentina

12.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 10.1 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 13.0 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.9 8.4 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.4 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.288
λ Away (xG) 1.068
Total xG 2.356
League avg home goals 1.187
League avg away goals 1.152
Sassuolo attack strength 0.901
Sassuolo defence strength 1.181
Fiorentina attack strength 0.785
Fiorentina defence strength 1.203
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 13 / 51