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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

39%

Sassuolo

2.55

26%

Draw

3.82

35%

Cagliari

2.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.63

1.26

Cagliari xG

39%
26%
35%
SassuoloDrawCagliari

2.55

39%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.89

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

28%

Sassuolo

3.54

26%

Cagliari

3.92

Win to Nil

11%

Sassuolo

9.03

9%

Cagliari

11.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.1 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.8 12.4 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 8.5 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.365
λ Away (xG) 1.265
Total xG 2.630
League avg home goals 1.266
League avg away goals 1.187
Sassuolo attack strength 0.851
Sassuolo defence strength 1.197
Cagliari attack strength 0.891
Cagliari defence strength 1.266
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 68