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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

26%

Sassuolo

3.89

35%

Draw

2.90

40%

AS Roma

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

2.11

1.19

AS Roma xG

26%
35%
40%
SassuoloDrawAS Roma

3.89

26%

Home win

2.90

35%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

30%

Sassuolo

3.30

40%

AS Roma

2.50

Win to Nil

8%

Sassuolo

12.83

16%

AS Roma

6.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 14.5 8.6 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 11.1 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.1 6.1 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.917
λ Away (xG) 1.193
Total xG 2.110
League avg home goals 1.197
League avg away goals 1.060
Sassuolo attack strength 1.007
Sassuolo defence strength 1.070
AS Roma attack strength 1.053
AS Roma defence strength 0.761
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 45