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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

22%

Pisa

4.58

34%

Draw

2.97

45%

Fiorentina

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

18.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.71

Pisa xG

Total xG

1.83

1.13

Fiorentina xG

22%
34%
45%
PisaDrawFiorentina

4.58

22%

Home win

2.97

34%

Draw

2.25

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.83

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

32%

Pisa

3.09

49%

Fiorentina

2.03

Win to Nil

7%

Pisa

14.15

22%

Fiorentina

4.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.0 18.0 10.2 3.8 1.1 0.2
1 11.3 12.7 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 4.0 4.5 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.706
λ Away (xG) 1.128
Total xG 1.834
League avg home goals 1.183
League avg away goals 1.134
Pisa attack strength 0.634
Pisa defence strength 1.082
Fiorentina attack strength 0.919
Fiorentina defence strength 0.942
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 42