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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

25%

Pisa

3.95

33%

Draw

3.05

42%

AS Roma

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Pisa xG

Total xG

2.25

1.29

AS Roma xG

25%
33%
42%
PisaDrawAS Roma

3.95

25%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

27%

Pisa

3.64

38%

AS Roma

2.61

Win to Nil

7%

Pisa

14.40

16%

AS Roma

6.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 13.6 8.8 3.8 1.2 0.3
1 10.1 13.0 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 4.8 6.2 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.1
3 1.5 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.958
λ Away (xG) 1.293
Total xG 2.251
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.111
Pisa attack strength 0.861
Pisa defence strength 1.150
AS Roma attack strength 1.012
AS Roma defence strength 0.896
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 39