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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 13 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

8%

Pisa

12.80

19%

Draw

5.33

73%

AC Milan

1.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

16.7%

Away win

0 – 3

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.48

Pisa xG

Total xG

2.48

2.00

AC Milan xG

19%
73%
PisaDrawAC Milan

12.80

8%

Home win

5.33

19%

Draw

1.36

73%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.01

67%

BTTS No

1.50

Clean Sheet

14%

Pisa

7.38

62%

AC Milan

1.62

Win to Nil

1%

Pisa

94.52

45%

AC Milan

2.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 16.7 16.7 11.1 5.6 2.2
1 4.0 8.1 8.1 5.4 2.7 1.1
2 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.3
3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
4
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.484
λ Away (xG) 1.999
Total xG 2.483
League avg home goals 1.242
League avg away goals 1.205
Pisa attack strength 0.541
Pisa defence strength 1.222
AC Milan attack strength 1.358
AC Milan defence strength 0.719
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 61