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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 24 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

34%

Parma

2.96

29%

Draw

3.50

38%

Sassuolo

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Parma xG

Total xG

2.28

1.18

Sassuolo xG

34%
29%
38%
ParmaDrawSassuolo

2.96

34%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

31%

Parma

3.25

33%

Sassuolo

3.01

Win to Nil

10%

Parma

9.64

13%

Sassuolo

8.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 12.0 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.2 13.3 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.2 7.3 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.102
λ Away (xG) 1.180
Total xG 2.282
League avg home goals 1.224
League avg away goals 1.170
Parma attack strength 0.829
Parma defence strength 1.172
Sassuolo attack strength 0.861
Sassuolo defence strength 1.086
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 37