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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

21%

Parma

4.66

26%

Draw

3.81

52%

Napoli

1.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

0 – 2

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Parma xG

Total xG

2.35

1.50

Napoli xG

21%
26%
52%
ParmaDrawNapoli

4.66

21%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

1.91

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.25

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

22%

Parma

4.46

43%

Napoli

2.35

Win to Nil

5%

Parma

20.77

22%

Napoli

4.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 14.3 10.7 5.3 2.0 0.6
1 8.2 12.2 9.1 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 3.5 5.2 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.853
λ Away (xG) 1.495
Total xG 2.348
League avg home goals 1.247
League avg away goals 1.171
Parma attack strength 0.733
Parma defence strength 1.179
Napoli attack strength 1.082
Napoli defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69