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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

23%

Parma

4.36

29%

Draw

3.51

49%

Napoli

2.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Parma xG

Total xG

2.30

1.41

Napoli xG

23%
29%
49%
ParmaDrawNapoli

4.36

23%

Home win

3.51

29%

Draw

2.06

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

24%

Parma

4.10

41%

Napoli

2.43

Win to Nil

6%

Parma

17.87

20%

Napoli

5.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 14.2 10.0 4.7 1.7 0.5
1 8.9 12.6 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 3.9 5.6 3.9 1.8 0.7 0.2
3 1.2 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.886
λ Away (xG) 1.411
Total xG 2.297
League avg home goals 1.207
League avg away goals 1.147
Parma attack strength 0.947
Parma defence strength 1.153
Napoli attack strength 1.066
Napoli defence strength 0.775
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74