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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventus Win

30%

Parma

3.37

27%

Draw

3.74

44%

Juventus

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Parma xG

Total xG

2.82

1.56

Juventus xG

30%
27%
44%
ParmaDrawJuventus

3.37

30%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

21%

Parma

4.78

28%

Juventus

3.51

Win to Nil

6%

Parma

16.12

12%

Juventus

8.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 9.3 7.3 3.8 1.5 0.5
1 7.5 11.7 9.2 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.7 7.4 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 2.0 3.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.256
λ Away (xG) 1.565
Total xG 2.821
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.132
Parma attack strength 1.055
Parma defence strength 1.316
Juventus attack strength 1.050
Juventus defence strength 0.960
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 70