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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

14%

Parma

6.97

22%

Draw

4.61

64%

Inter

1.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

10.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Parma xG

Total xG

3.03

2.12

Inter xG

14%
22%
64%
ParmaDrawInter

6.97

14%

Home win

4.61

22%

Draw

1.56

64%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

12%

Parma

8.29

40%

Inter

2.50

Win to Nil

2%

Parma

57.81

26%

Inter

3.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 10.2 10.8 7.6 4.0 1.7
1 4.4 9.4 9.9 7.0 3.7 1.6
2 2.0 4.3 4.5 3.2 1.7 0.7
3 0.6 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.916
λ Away (xG) 2.115
Total xG 3.031
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.167
Parma attack strength 0.980
Parma defence strength 1.293
Inter attack strength 1.401
Inter defence strength 0.729
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 68