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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

39%

Parma

2.56

30%

Draw

3.34

31%

Hellas Verona

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Parma xG

Total xG

2.10

0.97

Hellas Verona xG

39%
30%
31%
ParmaDrawHellas Verona

2.56

39%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

38%

Parma

2.64

32%

Hellas Verona

3.09

Win to Nil

15%

Parma

6.75

10%

Hellas Verona

10.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 11.9 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 13.8 13.4 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.8 7.6 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.9 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.129
λ Away (xG) 0.970
Total xG 2.099
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.230
Parma attack strength 0.702
Parma defence strength 1.093
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.722
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.298
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62