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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

50%

Parma

2.00

23%

Draw

4.34

27%

Hellas Verona

3.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Parma xG

Total xG

3.08

1.27

Hellas Verona xG

50%
23%
27%
ParmaDrawHellas Verona

2.00

50%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

3.72

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

28%

Parma

3.55

16%

Hellas Verona

6.10

Win to Nil

14%

Parma

7.10

4%

Hellas Verona

22.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 5.9 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.3 10.6 6.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.5 5.8 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.808
λ Away (xG) 1.268
Total xG 3.076
League avg home goals 1.349
League avg away goals 1.310
Parma attack strength 1.029
Parma defence strength 1.218
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.795
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.303
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 53