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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

11:30

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

29%

Parma

3.42

27%

Draw

3.77

44%

Genoa

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Parma xG

Total xG

2.50

1.41

Genoa xG

29%
27%
44%
ParmaDrawGenoa

3.42

29%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

24%

Parma

4.10

33%

Genoa

2.99

Win to Nil

7%

Parma

14.04

15%

Genoa

6.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 11.5 8.1 3.8 1.3 0.4
1 8.9 12.6 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 4.9 6.9 4.9 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.8 2.5 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.094
λ Away (xG) 1.411
Total xG 2.505
League avg home goals 1.181
League avg away goals 1.158
Parma attack strength 0.743
Parma defence strength 1.056
Genoa attack strength 1.154
Genoa defence strength 1.248
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58