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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

40%

Parma

2.51

29%

Draw

3.49

31%

Fiorentina

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Parma xG

Total xG

2.24

1.04

Fiorentina xG

40%
29%
31%
ParmaDrawFiorentina

2.51

40%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

35%

Parma

2.82

30%

Fiorentina

3.33

Win to Nil

14%

Parma

7.07

9%

Fiorentina

10.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 11.0 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.8 13.3 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.7 8.0 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.204
λ Away (xG) 1.036
Total xG 2.240
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.096
Parma attack strength 0.758
Parma defence strength 1.160
Fiorentina attack strength 0.815
Fiorentina defence strength 1.282
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 54