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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

46%

Parma

2.16

29%

Draw

3.44

25%

Cremonese

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Parma xG

Total xG

2.09

0.83

Cremonese xG

46%
29%
25%
ParmaDrawCremonese

2.16

46%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

44%

Parma

2.30

28%

Cremonese

3.52

Win to Nil

20%

Parma

4.96

7%

Cremonese

14.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 10.3 4.3 1.2 0.2
1 15.6 12.9 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 9.8 8.1 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 4.1 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.259
λ Away (xG) 0.832
Total xG 2.091
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.182
Parma attack strength 0.775
Parma defence strength 1.093
Cremonese attack strength 0.644
Cremonese defence strength 1.276
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29