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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

34%

Parma

2.97

28%

Draw

3.58

38%

Cagliari

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Parma xG

Total xG

2.36

1.23

Cagliari xG

34%
28%
38%
ParmaDrawCagliari

2.97

34%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

29%

Parma

3.41

32%

Cagliari

3.10

Win to Nil

10%

Parma

10.12

12%

Cagliari

8.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 11.6 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.7 13.1 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 6.1 7.4 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.3 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.130
λ Away (xG) 1.226
Total xG 2.356
League avg home goals 1.224
League avg away goals 1.197
Parma attack strength 0.779
Parma defence strength 1.119
Cagliari attack strength 0.915
Cagliari defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64