Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

54%

Napoli

1.84

25%

Draw

4.02

21%

Venezia

4.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.50

0.89

Venezia xG

54%
25%
21%
NapoliDrawVenezia

1.84

54%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

4.81

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

41%

Napoli

2.44

20%

Venezia

5.01

Win to Nil

22%

Napoli

4.49

4%

Venezia

24.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 7.3 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 13.2 11.8 5.2 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.5 4.2 1.3 0.3
3 5.7 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.612
λ Away (xG) 0.891
Total xG 2.503
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.341
Napoli attack strength 0.899
Napoli defence strength 0.854
Venezia attack strength 0.778
Venezia defence strength 1.337
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17