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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

63%

Napoli

1.59

21%

Draw

4.79

16%

Torino

6.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.90

0.91

Torino xG

63%
21%
16%
NapoliDrawTorino

1.59

63%

Home win

4.79

21%

Draw

6.15

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

40%

Napoli

2.47

14%

Torino

7.38

Win to Nil

25%

Napoli

3.93

2%

Torino

45.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 11.0 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.3 6.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
4 3.6 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.999
λ Away (xG) 0.905
Total xG 2.904
League avg home goals 1.256
League avg away goals 1.183
Napoli attack strength 1.177
Napoli defence strength 0.908
Torino attack strength 0.843
Torino defence strength 1.352
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65