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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

51%

Napoli

1.95

27%

Draw

3.70

22%

Torino

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.35

0.87

Torino xG

51%
27%
22%
NapoliDrawTorino

1.95

51%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

42%

Napoli

2.38

23%

Torino

4.42

Win to Nil

22%

Napoli

4.65

5%

Torino

20.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 8.2 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 14.1 12.3 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.1 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 5.2 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.486
λ Away (xG) 0.869
Total xG 2.355
League avg home goals 1.214
League avg away goals 1.119
Napoli attack strength 1.202
Napoli defence strength 0.770
Torino attack strength 1.008
Torino defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71