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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
51%
1.97
27%
3.73
22%
4.44
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
2 – 0
10.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.44
Napoli xG
Total xG
2.30
0.86
Lecce xG
NapoliDrawLecce
1.97
51%
Home win
3.73
27%
Draw
4.44
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.27
56%
BTTS No
1.79
Clean Sheet
42%
2.37
24%
4.22
Win to Nil
21%
4.67
5%
18.78
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 8.6 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 8.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.441
λ Away (xG)
0.862
Total xG
2.303
League avg home goals
1.292
League avg away goals
1.175
Napoli attack strength
1.147
Napoli defence strength
0.925
Lecce attack strength
0.793
Lecce defence strength
0.973
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 66