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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Wed 7 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

67%

Napoli

1.50

20%

Draw

4.91

13%

Hellas Verona

7.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.73

0.74

Hellas Verona xG

67%
20%
13%
NapoliDrawHellas Verona

1.50

67%

Home win

4.91

20%

Draw

7.63

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

47%

Napoli

2.11

14%

Hellas Verona

7.29

Win to Nil

32%

Napoli

3.17

2%

Hellas Verona

55.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 4.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 12.9 9.6 3.6 0.9 0.2
2 12.8 9.6 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 8.5 6.3 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 4.2 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.987
λ Away (xG) 0.745
Total xG 2.732
League avg home goals 1.171
League avg away goals 1.142
Napoli attack strength 1.330
Napoli defence strength 0.846
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.772
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.276
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55